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Doomberg
1 days agoNews Editor

Doomberg says U.S. pressure on Treasury holdings is reshaping reserve calculations

Energy and macro analyst Doomberg said in an interview published by Bitcoin Magazine that U.S. pressure on allied countries to keep holding U.S. Treasurys is changing how central banks calculate reserve assets. He argued that in a crisis, market participants sell what they can rather than what they want to sell, and said that dynamic helps explain gold’s short-term weakness since Feb. 28. Even so, Doomberg said the longer-term setup is "extremely bullish" for gold and Bitcoin as neutral reserve assets. He also said younger generations that rely heavily on the internet are more likely to choose Bitcoin as a reserve asset or store of value. The remarks were cited by ChainCatcher in a market analysis brief.

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Doomberg says U.S. pressure on Treasury holdings is reshaping reserve calculations
Kevin Muir
3 days agoNews Editor

Kevin Muir says fading AI funding logic makes Canada and Brazil look more compelling

Macro analyst Kevin Muir argued in an interview with Maggie Lake that the calm seen in major U.S. equity indexes is masking a far more violent rotation underneath. He pointed to the sharp reversal in Goldman Sachs’ AI Winners vs. Losers basket, the continued strength in the Magnificent 7, and unusually low stock correlation as signs that broad indexes are no longer telling the full story. In his view, the market’s justification for heavy AI infrastructure spending has steadily weakened, moving from claims that free cash flow would cover it, to cheap debt issuance, and now to equity financing as borrowing costs rise. Muir said that kind of narrative retreat is often seen late in a bubble cycle. He also put weight on market structure, especially pod shops and tax-aware long-short strategies, which he said can keep pressure on heavily shorted names without a traditional short-covering reset. Against that backdrop, Muir said investors should spend less time chasing expensive technology trades and more time looking at real-asset exposure. He highlighted Canada as a market benefiting from a more business-friendly shift and stronger capital spending, while calling Brazil’s election-driven selloff a buying opportunity tied to commodities and energy. He said both countries produce materials the world may want to stockpile as geopolitical uncertainty rises.

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Kevin Muir says fading AI funding logic makes Canada and Brazil look more compelling
Macro Analysis
3 months agoNews Editor

Analyst says oil, Treasury yields and the dollar are creating a three-way squeeze on tech stocks

A macro analyst on X, qinbafrank, said risk assets are facing a three-way macro squeeze as Brent crude nears $100, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield moves above 4.7%, and the U.S. dollar index rises back over 101. In his view, that mix raises inflation expectations, compresses equity valuations, and tightens global liquidity at the same time. He said large-cap technology shares, led by the Nasdaq, would likely take the heaviest pressure if Brent breaks $100, WTI holds above $90, and both yields and the dollar stay elevated. The analyst also tied the market outlook to geopolitics in the Middle East. He argued that oil remains the key variable and said the Trump administration’s response to Iran and the situation around the Strait of Hormuz could determine where markets go next. While he outlined scenarios ranging from a financial accommodation to a much harsher military option, he said Trump does not appear willing to move toward a full-scale war for now, leaving investors to watch for signs of deeper market stress.

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Analyst says oil, Treasury yields and the dollar are creating a three-way squeeze on tech stocks
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